"We are going to "hold off" on looking at houses for sale, we've heard that prices are going to come down!"
"Are house prices in Saskatoon going to come down in the future?"
"How much do you think they will come down?"
This is becoming a common statement that I have been hearing from clients and people in general lately. I have heard from other REALTOR® that they are hearing the same rhetoric. The truth is, no one knows for sure what the future will bring. What we do know is what has happened in the past. Over the past 6 years, every housing prediction has been wrong.
|Saskatoon. March 2nd, 2015.|
Year to date the Saskatoon Region Association of REALTORS.® (SRAR) experienced a 22% reduction in the number of sales along with an 8% increase in the number of properties listed for sale. This has resulted in an overall increase in inventory levels of 13%. The greatest increase in inventory is within the city limits where the increase is 26% over 2014. The number of multi-family units is on the rise representing almost 40% of the Saskatoon inventory. In 2014 new housing starts for multiple units exceeded single family starts by 65%. Many of these units are now complete and added to the resale inventory to increase supply. The sale-to-listing ratio in Saskatoon is currently 37% which is the lowest level since last January.
“Stories of oversupply, slower sales, cooling economy, and bursting real estate bubble do have a psychological effect on the behavior of consumers. To be sure there are real economic impacts as a result of low crude oil prices however speculation based on negative outlooks has an even bigger impact in my opinion.” comments Jason Yochim, CEO with the SRAR. “I heard it once said that ‘the economists have accurately predicted five of the last two recessions’. Two points here, firstly, no economist knows for certain what the future may hold and secondly if the media is full of speculation that an economic apocalypse is inevitable, then it is to be expected that a decrease in consumer confidence will result in reduced spending and investment in real estate.” adds Yochim.
In spite of higher inventory and lower sales, the average sale price year-to-date is up 3%. The number of properties selling over $500,000 was consistent with last years’ numbers with two sales in excess of one million dollars. Home sales in all price ranges appeared to be down compared to 2014 with a notable 32% decrease for sales in the $450,000 to $500,000 range.
Facts worth considering are that Saskatchewan has a strong and diverse economy, people are still moving into our province and families housing needs change as they move through the various stages of life. Homes and condominiums will continue to be bought and sold to meet the demands of these changes. It is important to realize that housing supply and demand can vary significantly depending on area, condition and pricing compared to competing properties in the market. The largest source of market specific data is in the hands of a professional REALTOR® who can not only provide the data but also interpret it and make specific recommendations for each situation. “This is critical for a seller who wishes to sell within a certain time frame or a buyer who is interested in getting fair value for their money.” Yochim comments.
The Saskatoon Region Association of REALTORS.® consists of more than 600 professionally licensed and trained REALTOR® members. REALTORS® subscribe to a strict code of ethics and are dedicated to developing professional standards and continuing education in the real estate profession.
For further information, please contact:
Chief Executive Officer – Saskatoon Region Association of REALTORS®
After reviewing the facts of historical price trends, this Realtor's opinion is, NOW is the time to be out buying! Interest rates (click on link for more information) are at an all time low, inventory for January and February is up 22% from last year.
|Month||Active Listings, Number of||Active Listings, $ Volume|
Time frame is from Jan 2014 to Feb 2014
With a lot of "Chicken-Littles" "sitting on the side-lines", active buyers have more to choose from and possibly stronger negotiating positions.
If you or anyone you know, is considering buying a home, please call me for a free consultation.
My sincere thanks for your time and consideration,
CENTURY 21 Fusion
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