September 2015 - Prices ease as expected

Following four months of relative stability, unadjusted benchmark prices eased as expected in September to $456,300, a 0.26 per cent decline compared with last year.

Most of this aggregate moderation was due to price declines in the apartment sector brought on by higher-than-average inventory levels.

Overall sales activity relative to new listings caused a softening in absorption rates, which resulted in inventory gains and ultimately placed moderate downward pressure on pricing.

Residential sales in the city totaled 1,448 units in September, well below typical activity levels for this time of year. Year-to-date Calgary sales remained below both the five and 10-year year averages by a respective 10 and 26 per cent.

Rising unemployment and persistent weakness in the local economy is impacting housing demand. However, unlike earlier this year when consumers were reacting to uncertainty, recent activity reflects current economic conditions.

While all property types recorded a notable drop in the sales-to-new-listings ratio, both the apartment and attached segments saw the most significant declines. Ratios in both categories dropped to the 40 per cent range, while months of supply pushed up to 4.95 and 4.35, respectively.

Elevated inventory levels in the apartment segment, in particular, are the result of moderate listing declines relative to sales activity.
Year-to-date apartment sales have fell by 32 per cent, while listings have dropped by just 7 per cent.

While the apartment sector now favours buyers with added selection and attractive pricing, other factors will continue to play into purchase decisions.

While the apartment sector offers more choice, not all units are created equal. When considering apartment condominiums, it’s important to understand that the corporate and physical health of the building can also influence both buying and selling decisions in this type of market.

Despite higher months of supply, typical home prices in both the detached and attached sectors remain relatively unchanged in September.

Although citywide inventory levels remain elevated compared to activity seen in the past three years, they still remain well below highs recorded during the previous economic downturn in 2008/09.

Aggregate prices have eased by one per cent from the beginning of the year, a moderate correction when compared against the aggressive gains last year that averaged more than nine per cent.

 

Source: CREB

Edgardo Giacone

Edgardo Giacone

REALTORĀ®
CENTURY 21 Bamber Realty Ltd.
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