Canadian Residential Real Estate Future is Solid, says The Canadian Real Estate Association

OTTAWA – January 23, 2008 – The Canadian housing market in 2007 set a number of MLS® sales records, and the re-sale housing market is expected to remain at near record sales levels in 2008, according to The Canadian Real Estate Association.

Annual residential MLS® sales totaled 520,747 units in 2007, up 7.6 % from 2006. This was the largest annual sales growth since 2002, and the first time transactions via the MLS® systems of real estate boards in Canada have surpassed 500,000 units sold in one year.
“The results in 2007 show the strength and the affordability of the Canadian residential market,” says CREA President Ann Bosley. “The statistics again show just how different the housing markets are in Canada and the United States. Canadian REALTORS® know that Canadian mortgage lenders correctly see that home prices will continue rising. We know there is still strong competition for mortgage business in Canada.”

Three key economic ingredients will keep Canada’s housing market on a different track from the United States:
• One is consumer confidence,
• The second is employment, and
• Third is affordable interest rates.
The Bank of Canada cut interest rates on January 22nd because of weaker prospects for Canadian economic growth in 2008. “Those lower interest rates will also help temper the erosion in housing affordability due to additional home price increases,” Bosley added. The Bank of Canada is expected to cut its trend-setting rate again in March.

CREA’s Chief Economist Gregory Klump says that the Canadian housing market in 2008 will pull back from the breakneck pace set in 2007, but this is still forecast to be the second-busiest year on record in almost all provinces, with residential unit sales reaching an estimated 512,705 units.
Average prices for MLS® home sales...will increase more slowly as the market becomes more balanced.

According to CREA’s Chief Economist, a larger supply of listings will be one of the balancing influences in 2008. New listings are forecast to rise in all provinces except Alberta, where they’re expected to retreat after spiking in late 2007.
“The challenge for the Canadian housing market will be the extent to which employment and consumer confidence may be affected by a slowdown in the U.S. economy,” Ann Bosley adds.
“Slower job growth, not massive layoffs, is forecast for Canada in 2008,” CREA’s Chief Economist Gregory Klump adds.

Source: The Canadian Real Estate Association 

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Eugene Pilato

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