CMHC forecasts ‘balanced conditions’ for next two years : tougher mortgage rules, higher borrowing costs and rising inventories will help cool what has been a red-hot market

May 20, 2010  - Canada’s resale home market will move towards balanced conditions over the next two years as MLS sales ease and inventory levels increase, says Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.’s (CMHC) second quarter Housing Market Outlook, Canada Edition.

In late 2009 and early 2010, sales activity included some pent-up demand from early 2009, the federal agency says. Once this demand is exhausted, and as mortgage rates gradually rise, the pace of activity in the resale market will ease. As a result, existing home sales will be in the range of 484,000 to 513,300 units in 2010, and then move slightly lower in 2011 to be in the range of 443,500 to 504,900 units, says CMHC.

With an improved balance between demand and supply, the average MLS price is expected to stabilize through the end of 2010 and then rise modestly in 2011, it says.

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Marlene Ofter

Marlene Ofter

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